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03 Nov · 05:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1588
3-1Final setsMarud won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1528
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 55%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 52% → final 96%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsMarud recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games