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03 Nov · 06:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1525
1-3Final setsSokolowski won
OSOliwier Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1414
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 64%. The actual result was Oliwier Sokolowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Adamus favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 76.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Adamus −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Adamus is favoured to win, below means Oliwier Sokolowski.

▲ Pawel Adamuspre 62% → final 29%
Oliwier Sokolowski ▼
Biggest swing 49 ptsSokolowski recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games