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03 Nov · 07:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1500
1-3Final setsSobel won
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1503
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 54%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Artur Sobel.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 42% → final 1%
Artur Sobel ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts54 points · 3 games