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03 Nov · 09:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1498
2-3Final setsTkaczyk won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 54%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
104 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 58% → final 24%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games