03 Nov · 11:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1489
2-3Final setsGajda won
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1467
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 52%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.8
Total 75.5
97 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Gajda −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.
▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 56% → final 2%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsGajda recovered from 34%72 points · 5 games