3 Nov · 18:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1500
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tkaczyk
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1499
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.