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03 Nov · 13:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1503
2-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1431
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 53%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oliver Vincenec favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
109 points played
Over
Set handicap
Oliver Vincenec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Oliver Vincenec −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 50% → final 78%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts72 points · 5 games