Rafal Gajda vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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03 Nov · 15:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1463

3-2Final setsGajda won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1503

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 55%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 3-2 — the underdog won.

Rafal Gajda — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Set handicap

Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Gajda −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.55

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 41% → final 9%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 66 ptsBaron recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games