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03 Nov · 17:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1523
3-1Final setsKoczyba won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1391
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 63%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 72.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 61% → final 92%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts72 points · 4 games