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03 Nov · 18:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1358
3-1Final setsTrela won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1283
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 51%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 45% → final 95%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts72 points · 4 games