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03 Nov · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1395
3-1Final setsSzlubowski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1282
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 61%. The actual result was Dariusz Szlubowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Set handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Szlubowski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Dariusz Szlubowskipre 65% → final 96%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 4 games