3 Nov · 20:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1470
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Brunner
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1464
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H26-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.