3 Nov · 21:30 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1474
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wolny
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1365
FormLLWLL
62%
38%
🌟Wolny stays under total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H16-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-2)