3 Nov · 20:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1308
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gluszek
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1302
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Gluszek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H56-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.