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03 Nov · 21:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1362
3-0Final setsMichalski won
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1493
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 67%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Koczyba.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 35% → final 96%
Mariusz Koczyba ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsMichalski recovered from 28%49 points · 3 games