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03 Nov · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1300
2-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1305
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 52%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 56% → final 1%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsRolak recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games