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04 Nov · 01:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1383
2-3Final setsJurowicz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1385
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nowak at 52%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Nowak favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Set handicap
Jakub Nowak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Nowak −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Jakub Nowakpre 49% → final 23%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsJurowicz recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games