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04 Nov · 01:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1519
3-2Final setsWolny won
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1465
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Brunner at 51%. The actual result was Michal Wolny 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Brunner favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 73.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Brunner −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Brunner −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Wolny is favoured to win, below means Marian Brunner.

▲ Michal Wolnypre 53% → final 89%
Marian Brunner ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsWolny recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games