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04 Nov · 01:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1564
3-1Final setsTkocz won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1563
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 53%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 73.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 50% → final 89%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsTkocz recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games