4 Nov · 05:05 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1422
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1510
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H29-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-28)