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04 Nov · 03:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1337
3-1Final setsCesarz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1564
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 74%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.22
Upset
Total 68.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 27% → final 91%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsCesarz recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games