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04 Nov · 05:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1589
3-1Final setsGuzik won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1329
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 72%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 71.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 77% → final 94%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 34 pts72 points · 4 games