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04 Nov · 07:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1630
3-2Final setsKapik won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1634
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 51%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 53% → final 77%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsKapik recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games