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04 Nov · 08:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1431
3-0Final setsMadej won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 63%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 76.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 33% → final 99%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsMadej recovered from 33%58 points · 3 games