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04 Nov · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1328
3-2Final setsRus won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1458
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 67%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 77.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Gajda −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Rus is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Maksymilian Ruspre 28% → final 73%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsRus recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games