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04 Nov · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1627
2-3Final setsCzerwinski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1574
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 58%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Kosmal favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 74.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Kosmal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Kosmal −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kosmal is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Dawid Kosmalpre 55% → final 3%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games