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04 Nov · 11:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKamil Smolka
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1521
3-0Final setsSmolka won
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1412
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 52%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Smolka favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 76.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Smolka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Smolka −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Smolka is favoured to win, below means Boguslaw Madej.

▲ Kamil Smolkapre 56% → final 98%
Boguslaw Madej ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts56 points · 3 games