4 Nov · 20:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Nocun
MK
🇵🇱Michal Kumor
ELO 1399
FormLLLWW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)