4 Nov · 18:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1534
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1568
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Delikatny stays under total as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H30-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.