4 Nov · 20:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1534
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1613
FormWLWLL
41%
59%
🌟Delikatny stays under total as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)