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04 Nov · 12:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1508
3-2Final setsSulkowski won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1470
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 51%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Minda favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Minda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Minda −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 47% → final 95%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsSulkowski recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games