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04 Nov · 11:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1589
3-1Final setsRutkowski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1546
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 54%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rutkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 51% → final 98%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts70 points · 4 games