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05 Nov · 09:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
OSOliwier Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1398
3-1Final setsSokolowski won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1416
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sokolowski at 50%. The actual result was Oliwier Sokolowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vincenec favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Vincenec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Vincenec −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliwier Sokolowski is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Oliwier Sokolowskipre 54% → final 100%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSokolowski recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games