Boguslaw Madej vs Kamil Smolka — TT Elite Series

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04 Nov · 13:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej

ELO 1416

3-2Final setsMadej won

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1504

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 55%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-2 — the underdog won.

Boguslaw Madej — profile →Kamil Smolka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.57

Upset

Total 76.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kamil Smolka −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.95

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Kamil Smolka.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 41% → final 2%

Kamil Smolka ▼

Biggest swing 41 pts56 points · 3 games