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04 Nov · 17:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1353
3-1Final setsZwolinski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1307
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 51%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 55% → final 99%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsZwolinski recovered from 30%68 points · 4 games