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04 Nov · 18:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1298
1-3Final setsSzoltysek won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1327
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 51%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 75.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukaszewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 55% → final 5%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsSzoltysek recovered from 42%70 points · 4 games