Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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04 Nov · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1318

2-3Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1331

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 75.5

101 points played

Over

Set handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 45% → final 23%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 53 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 37%72 points · 5 games