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04 Nov · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1322
3-0Final setsKowalczyk won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1324
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 49% → final 100%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 37%52 points · 3 games