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04 Nov · 22:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1323
3-1Final setsSzoltysek won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1292
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 52%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 49% → final 0%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 39%52 points · 3 games