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04 Nov · 23:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1292
1-3Final setsSuchecki won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1236
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 61%. The actual result was Waclaw Suchecki 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 65% → final 97%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 43%61 points · 3 games