Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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04 Nov · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1327

3-0Final setsMrugala won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1292

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 50%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-0 — the underdog won.

Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 74.5

51 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

6.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 46% → final 23%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 53 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games