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Ratings & Predictions
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05 Nov · 00:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1636
3-1Final setsWarzecha won
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 77%. The actual result was Miroslaw Warzecha 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslaw Warzecha favoured — closing 1.16
Favourite won
Total 69.5
72 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Michal Machelski.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 81% → final 98%
Michal Machelski ▼
Biggest swing 18 pts70 points · 4 games