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05 Nov · 01:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1383
3-2Final setsZwolinski won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1307
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 58% → final 99%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsZwolinski recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games