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05 Nov · 01:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1545
1-3Final setsWiciok won
PWPiotr Wiciok
🇵🇱Piotr Wiciok
ELO 1519
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 55%. The actual result was Piotr Wiciok 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Piotr Wiciok.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 59% → final 0%
Piotr Wiciok ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsWiciok recovered from 19%66 points · 4 games