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05 Nov · 02:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1544
1-3Final setsWrzalik won
TWTomasz Wrzalik
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1446
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 60%. The actual result was Tomasz Wrzalik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Wrzalik.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 57% → final 13%
Tomasz Wrzalik ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsWrzalik recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games