5 Nov · 06:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FK
🇵🇱Frantisek Krcil
ELO 1432
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krcil
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1372
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)