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05 Nov · 05:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1474
2-3Final setsWisniewski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1282
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 72%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 74.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Sulkowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 71% → final 2%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsWisniewski recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games