5 Nov · 08:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1649
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Olbrycht
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1627
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Kapik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (197)
Fair odds · Olbrycht
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H61-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.