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05 Nov · 05:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1293
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
WIWojciech Iwasyszyn
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1343
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Iwasyszyn at 52%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Iwasyszyn favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Iwasyszyn −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Iwasyszyn −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Iwasyszyn.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 51% → final 89%
Wojciech Iwasyszyn ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsSulkowski recovered from 43%72 points · 4 games