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05 Nov · 06:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WSWitold Stechly
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1265
3-1Final setsStechly won
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1390
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Machelski at 69%. The actual result was Witold Stechly 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Machelski favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 71.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Machelski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Machelski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Stechly is favoured to win, below means Michal Machelski.

▲ Witold Stechlypre 26% → final 92%
Michal Machelski ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsStechly recovered from 13%72 points · 4 games